Basic Probability Flashcards

All 10 cards in this deck

What is the range of values a probability can take?

From 00 to 11 inclusive.
00 = impossible, 11 = certain.

Which word describes a probability of exactly 12\frac{1}{2} on the probability scale?

Evens (even chance).

How do you write the probability of an event when all outcomes are equally likely?

e.g. 4 red sweets out of 15 sweets

P(event)=number of successful outcomestotal number of outcomesP(\text{event}) = \dfrac{\text{number of successful outcomes}}{\text{total number of outcomes}}
e.g. 415\frac{4}{15}

True or false? A probability may be written as a ratio such as 4:154:15.

False.
Probability must be a fraction, decimal or percentage — 4:154:15 scores no marks.

What is the formula for the probability of an event AA not happening?

P(not A)=1−P(A)P(\text{not }A) = 1 - P(A)
e.g. if P(six)=0.3P(\text{six}) = 0.3 then P(not six)=0.7P(\text{not six}) = 0.7

What do the probabilities of a set of mutually exclusive outcomes that covers everything (exhaustive) add up to?

11.
So a missing probability =1−= 1 - (the others).

What does it mean for two events to be mutually exclusive, and what can you then do with their probabilities?

They cannot both happen at the same time; then P(A or B)=P(A)+P(B)P(A\text{ or }B) = P(A)+P(B).

True or false? For a single roll of a dice, 'even number' and 'greater than 3' are mutually exclusive, so you can add their probabilities.

False.
4 and 6 are both, so the events overlap and adding is invalid.

What are the steps to find the total number of items from a given probability?

e.g. P(blue)=0.2P(\text{blue}) = 0.2 and there are 12 blue cubes

  1. Write probability =number of that typetotal=\dfrac{\text{number of that type}}{\text{total}}: 0.2=12total0.2 = \frac{12}{\text{total}}
  2. Divide the number by the probability: 12÷0.212 \div 0.2
  3. Total =60= 60 cubes

What does 'taken at random' mean in a probability question?

Every item is equally likely to be chosen — no item is favoured.